Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.000075 6.601017 7.241229 7.974962 8.793767 9.680669 10.715762
2025-11-16 4.893671 5.700264 6.616476 7.738032 9.079045 10.637275 12.594121
2025-11-23 4.162349 5.084594 6.190044 7.621258 9.437509 11.681800 14.690121
2025-11-30 3.719914 4.735359 6.010939 7.746191 10.068630 13.102687 17.420740
2025-12-07 3.298787 4.349070 5.722354 7.672131 10.405862 14.157305 19.790601
2025-12-14 2.925443 3.975288 5.396523 7.491319 10.551511 14.939413 21.855578
2025-12-21 2.662851 3.719171 5.195176 7.446831 10.863827 15.968789 24.392609
2025-12-28 2.507433 3.594497 5.159962 7.628252 11.514582 17.558288 27.992529
2026-01-04 2.363180 3.469207 5.106608 7.768221 12.105061 19.107911 31.727539
2026-01-11 2.209950 3.314459 4.990952 7.792730 12.503577 20.379209 35.150183
2026-01-18 2.053951 3.140674 4.827937 7.719950 12.724746 21.364948 38.185428
2026-01-25 1.902640 2.961067 4.638758 7.582014 12.813120 22.118174 40.878149
2026-02-01 1.763515 2.792905 4.458449 7.449035 12.908497 22.917781 43.830167
2026-02-08 1.645417 2.650288 4.308910 7.355292 13.064632 23.849166 47.195526
2026-02-15 1.547433 2.533712 4.193571 7.310569 13.305262 24.968601 51.128576
2026-02-22 1.491123 2.483663 4.188325 7.464941 13.941243 26.944341 57.240192
2026-03-01 1.407550 2.379571 4.078771 7.412181 14.161124 28.094450 61.679170
2026-03-08 1.315184 2.253159 3.919026 7.247584 14.134901 28.718824 64.982996
2026-03-15 1.248611 2.168399 3.828733 7.209574 14.364386 29.919685 69.882311
2026-03-22 1.215603 2.142604 3.845937 7.387077 15.069605 32.268341 78.095433
2026-03-29 1.179400 2.108120 3.843563 7.523443 15.698968 34.524400 86.494453
2026-04-05 1.132292 2.049676 3.790231 7.547812 16.079115 36.238811 93.747054
2026-04-12 1.077905 1.973663 3.696789 7.477986 16.234814 37.425157 99.734635